Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.088484 1.238762 1.402494 1.594176 1.812504 2.053535 2.339957
2025-12-07 0.831374 1.029280 1.263752 1.562253 1.932572 2.377468 2.953472
2025-12-14 0.678195 0.890059 1.156074 1.515052 1.987693 2.590009 3.418031
2025-12-21 0.582336 0.801524 1.090105 1.498562 2.063224 2.818498 3.909324
2025-12-28 0.530825 0.761498 1.077994 1.544970 2.218583 3.158490 4.575872
2026-01-04 0.468837 0.697750 1.023555 1.522376 2.269704 3.352515 5.049586
2026-01-11 0.434185 0.668335 1.012990 1.558913 2.405811 3.676211 5.739349
2026-01-18 0.397143 0.630601 0.985053 1.564381 2.492493 3.930093 6.342874
2026-01-25 0.359437 0.587455 0.943778 1.543427 2.533355 4.113277 6.847713
2026-02-01 0.323686 0.543555 0.896564 1.507169 2.544019 4.246073 7.278441
2026-02-08 0.292651 0.504201 0.852662 1.471277 2.550198 4.369250 7.700438
2026-02-15 0.274272 0.484330 0.838964 1.484502 2.639771 4.638357 8.396808
2026-02-22 0.250539 0.455332 0.811159 1.478100 2.708178 4.901273 9.155798
2026-03-01 0.225167 0.421230 0.771886 1.448791 2.735741 5.101040 9.836071
2026-03-08 0.201135 0.386723 0.727863 1.405062 2.730224 5.237087 10.407704
2026-03-15 0.183802 0.362836 0.700726 1.389787 2.776170 5.472947 11.198199
2026-03-22 0.175390 0.355251 0.703549 1.432777 2.940395 5.954028 12.535443
2026-03-29 0.160644 0.333386 0.676138 1.411846 2.972511 6.173793 13.355048
2026-04-05 0.153099 0.325396 0.675528 1.445692 3.121309 6.646833 14.767131
2026-04-12 0.143412 0.311854 0.662081 1.450757 3.208855 6.999345 15.954622
2026-04-19 0.132431 0.294368 0.638559 1.431347 3.240416 7.233577 16.901574
2026-04-26 0.121320 0.275443 0.610052 1.397759 3.236306 7.387819 17.680263
2026-05-03 0.111307 0.257959 0.582980 1.364510 3.229162 7.533783 18.455049